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January, 2002


March 20, 2002:

Transcription:
Chicago eBusiness Year in Review: A Report
(Part 2 of 3)


Event Date: Tues., Jan. 9, 2001
Location: IIT's Rice Campus, 201 East Loop Road, Wheaton, Illinois
Attendance: Around 50 people
Rating:
Speakers:
- Gary Ruderman: [Former] Editor-in-Chief, I-Street Magazine
- Brian Timpone, [Former] Chief Content Officer, ePrairie
- Ron May, The May Report
(Speakers are listed in order of appearance)
Hosted By:
Lawrence Lerner, President
The Association of Internet Professionals (AIP) - Chicago Chapter

Story: Part One | Part Two | Part Three
Transcript: Part One | Part Two | Part Three

Transcribed by Doug Elwell

[Ron May enters]

Gary Ruderman

Well, out of the clear blue western sky comes 'Sky King'!

Ron May

It's a two-hour ride out here. [Laughter] That's why I'm thankful I don't live in the suburbs.

Gary Ruderman

Your turn!

Ron May

So, sit down, or is it a panel?

Brian Timpone

It's a panel now. This is a chance to start off on a diatribe on your own.

Ron May

What do you want me to do?

Lawrence Lerner

Come on down here!

Ron May

Oh, okay. Can I get a glass of water?

Lawrence Lerner

I want to drop one thought on everybody before Ron gets settled.

Ron May

Who is this guy?

Lawrence Lerner

I'm your host, Ron. [Laughter]

Ron May

Oh are you Lerner, Lawrence Lerner? ...

Lawrence Lerner

[Yes]. In '86, Computerworld had a banner headline that said, 53 percent of all client-server projects fail. Yet today, we've sort of been there, done that with client-server. Internet was put in as the next wave of technology, the next revolution. And there was a lot of doom and gloom around that and how bad things were and how awful it was, and these relational databases on PCs and UNIX boxes, they were going to stay on mainframes. And it didn't happen.

Ron May

I think this chair is going to die. [laughter] Do you have any stronger chairs? [laughter] No, it'll be all right, because I'll just blame you, right? [laughter]. There's my driver, by the way. Oh, did I thank him? I don't think so. I told him that I was going to nail him for the fact that, you know, he took so long.

Brian Timpone

Whenever there is a new technology that comes out, everyone assumes that everyone is going to spend tens of millions of dollars to implement this new technology and its going to work right away. When I was in TV we used to use these 3/4" decks. What it was was it was a heavy, like, big, huge tape player. And you would strap it on your shoulder and you would take the camera and walk around. I mean, you looked like a space martian. My station in Duluth ... used 3/4" decks. I always used to complain to the general manager, 'Why don't you guys splurge and get some new digital [equipment]. We're about four generations behind here.' They were like, 'This is a big capital expenditure. We're not going to do it.' And they did it, like, the day I left, they actually got the decks. [Laughter]

But I remember asking, I said, 'When is everyone going to be digital? Are we going to shoot our stuff on disk, it would be so easy to edit.' And he said, 'Really, the big cities are the ones who are going to be making the biggest investments. We'll be the last ones to change because they made so much of an investment in this technology.' They want to see other people use it first before they splurge. So like, Chicago TV stations are using Betamax which they having been using for the last fifteen, twenty years. And there are stations in Oklahoma City that are using higher-tech stuff. And the reason why Chicago hasn't splurged is for that reason. So I think that we are seeing a lot of that on the technology side too. People are afraid to get that new stuff because they are afraid if that they spend too much money on it they might get fired.

Audience Member

The question is, is there nobody who is making good business using new technology in the New Economy? And, aren't there some people who are doing this, and isn't there a way that we could build more of an image around the successful ones?

Lawrence Lerner

Well, that's a good question. You want to talk about New Economy? Here's some real good examples: Cisco, Dell, and Motorola all have something in common besides being high tech companies: They don't build anything. They are very good at [being] what you would call New Economy companies. They have a very streamlined, pipelined process for innovating, for aggregating and putting together and researching — they come up with the chips, they come up with the breadboards — 86 Designs [sp?] out there builds breadboards for Motorola's PDAs and for some of the chipsets. Motorola does not build that stuff for themselves anymore. It's cheaper, it's more efficient to build a network of suppliers to bring it in. As long as you know that your core competency is to kind of manage that process, that is a great example of it. Why don't we talk more about it? It's more fun to hear about terrible things, or calls that Ron gets at three in the morning, or about what was the latest disaster. We like scandal....

Ron May

Hey, what is the topic of this meeting, anyway?

Lawrence Lerner

It would be 'Year in Review'.

Ron May

And you did it in ten minutes? I thought you started at 6:30?

Gary Ruderman

The answer to your question — I finally had a discussion with Darcy, the publisher — and I said, 'Are we entering a dot-com recession? What products in the New Economy is recession proof?' For eight years I covered home improvement companies — public companies like Home Depot. And even in the worst recession, one product would sell no matter what it cost — and it was paint. It was beige paint.

Audience Member

Toilet paper?

Gary Ruderman

That's not a home improvement product. [laughter] What I was trying to find was one product in this New Economy that is 'recession-proof'. And Darcy [Evon] made a very good point, that the New Economy is not so much a product, as it is an amalgam of services, of offerings of a way to transmit information. So the companies that don't have a 'product' per se are going to do well, because a product — I could decide tomorrow not to buy a blue shirt, and if it's blueshirt.com, they go down the tubes. [Editor's note: there actually is a blueshirt.com. No word on whether or not they actually sell blue shirts.] The companies that are really controlling their costs because they are in a recession right now — there's no more cash for them tomorrow, okay? Those are going to do well. A company like — please don't open the ceiling — but MVP.com. Why would you go to a site like that to buy shoes, running shoes, that cost $25 more than they do in the store. It's not the cachet.

Why is t-shirts.com or toga.com — they're making money selling t-shirts. But Ha-lo, which bought Starbelly, which was a technology, they bought the technology and they killed it. So why am I focusing on dying companies? Because the really good companies I'm having a hard time understanding totally, and the really good companies hide behind the idea, 'I'm sorry, we're a private company and we don't talk about stuff like that.' The big problem that B2Bs had — and I'll make this quick, because I want to hear what Ron has to say — the B2B companies started out by saying, 'This is a $10 trillion market out there. And we're going to take 2 percent of that, which is [$200 billion], and the VCs went, 'Sure. Here'. But in reality, you don't make [$200 billion] off of a $10 trillion market. You make your first sale, then you make your second sale. And your sales go up, or your sales go down. And when I say to these companies,
'Hey, what are your sales?'
'I'm sorry, we're a private company.'
'Well, are your sales up?'
'Oh yeah they're up!'
'By what percentage?'
'Oh, I'm sorry, we're a private company.'
So, the question is, how can you form a community in this town? You form a community by companies that are successful, talking about their success — not bragging about their success — but talking about what they did to make themselves successful. You know, there are companies out there today that are not overstaffed. They are understaffed and people are tired, but they are making money.

Centerpost is a really good example. I hope they are still in business today. I haven't been in the office. [They are] They're a very good company, because they came up with an idea, with a hell of a good technology, they got a hell of a partner in Motorola, Motorola opened the door to United and said, 'Hey United, this is a good technology. Let's put it together.' So, we need more success stories like that. Last year's success story, up until let's say June or July, was divine.

Audience Member

What is Centerpost?

Gary Ruderman

Centerpost is a technology, a wireless paging technology, [where] you determine on which device you want the information. And the partner, let's say United, will send a signal to Centerpost, Centerpost will send it to you. Now, that seems very simple, but it's probably much more complex than that. The point is there are technology companies that don't have flash, that are doing quite well. And I respect that.

Ron May

Can I interject on that? Sort of playing off of an idea that you just threw out. And I actually used this at the discussion — how many of you were at the MEF meeting last night? [Talking to the audience] Oh, you were? Do I know you? [Laughter.]... Okay, here's the thing. I talked to Steve Meade, who was the presenter for gbucks, which used to be called '2xchange'. His whole argument, and I want to sort of pick up on something that you glossed over quickly, his whole argument was 'Don't start a company like a vertical exchange — it's going to be like a Commerx. That you have to just go out and get a whole slew of buyers and a whole slew of sellers and put them together. He wants with gbucks, which is a barter [site] to — and the example he gave was: IBM traded $40,000,000 in computers, or whatever the figure was.

Brian Timpone

Like $20,000,000...

Ron May

Was it $1.7 million?

Brian Timpone

Yeah, they bartered something like $1.7 million dollars in computers for like 30 Volkswagens.

Ron May

Right, right. But, the whole idea was that he wants to focus on a couple, 2, 3, 4, 5 customers, who are doing a lot of business in a particular market — start with that anchor. There's the point. A lot of these companies I think that have the potential to be very successful have one side of the equation already filled in. They have the customers on one side, now they're going out to do the other side of the deal. And to just announce, 'I'm going to be a general exchange' — that's why a GE Plastics, I think, has been more successful in their exchange than a Commerx, for example. You know, again, I certainly don't claim to be a business strategy guy....

Gary Ruderman

The point there is, and the point was made earlier is, the bricks and mortar companies, the 'Old Economy' have the revenues, have the profits, have the brand, and have the customers. So if they want to put together a plastics site, all they have to do is go to Best Buy and buy the web software and they can build it, because they have the customers, they have the brand, and they have the dollars to put behind it. So if Commerx was going to come in and do a disruptive — see, the thought was last year, and even Andrew Filipowski said it, ' Sears is dead'. But it's not. It's probably a damn good partner for a lot of people, you know. The point is, its not a disruptive technology. There are disruptive technologies out there, but a B2B exchange is not a disruptive technology. The most venerable B2B site, Ventro, it's a public company, its first portal, which was life science equipment, life science chemicals, and stuff like that, just shut down. Why did it shut down? Because people realized that they could go directly to the chemical company and buy it. Why do I have to go to Ventro?

Ron May

Let me ask you, because you probably do know more about this than I do. Take a company — I missed his talk, by the way — Jim, did you hear the talk from Rob Reynolds from Lifeserv last night?

Audience Member

I just caught the end.

Ron May

Oh, okay. Now they've got a pretty good slew of clients. Do you guys know about them, Lifeserv? Does anybody here know about them? ... I understand that they already have a very good group of Fortune 500 customers like Kraft and so forth, already in place. I'm not sure I understand how that fits into their business model. What about participate.com? Same thing. They're really going for the big corporate....

Brian Timpone

Well, what you're talking about is, you said this earlier, you said, 'Where are these positive companies needed to rally around for the technology community?' I think the problem is, There is no technology community, okay? It doesn't exist. There's no such thing. I mean, I'm a technology worker. Everybody is a technology worker, if technology exists.... Ten years ago, if you used a word processor instead of a pencil, were you part of the technology community? Right now, the problem is, a lot of these companies were started by people who didn't understand the state they were in. And that happened a lot in Silicon Valley. Hey, you know, Jim Clark , you guys know who he is, he started Netscape, he started Healtheon , the WebMD? He didn't know anything about medicine at all and he started this company that was going to 'transform healthcare'. That happened a lot out there. And the problem is these people not only did not have connections in that space, alright, but they were arrogant enough to think that they were smarter than everybody else who was there, that the doctors, the insurance people didn't know, 'I know, I'm better'.

And that's the problem with a lot of these B2B exchanges. They don't have people — the guys who started Commerx, I think they were manufacturing....

Ron May

They came out of a plastics background.

Brian Timpone

Right. But we're talking about [having] real domain expertise and real connections if they're going to make these things happen....

Audience Member

They were an established brick and mortar company that converted into a dot com. They did have a little bit more background than that.

Lawrence Lerner

Fifty-three percent of some of these client-server projects fail. Was it the technology? No. The technology is certainly sound. Was it the people? No, they were pretty smart. Was the planning bad? Was it poorly executed? You bet! I don't know how many times I had clients come to me and say, 'Hey, we've got a thousand Word Perfect documents, and we're going to swap over to Microsoft Word over the weekend. No big deal, right? Forget about the macros, it all converts. It says so in the documentation. You know what? If 20 percent of the documents don't convert over, that's 200 you've got. And that's a small, sort of trivial example. But the point is, [there wasn't good planning]. And this goes back to what you were saying about they didn't understand the business.

There are a lot of people who get in, because the technology now is really cheap. It's really easy to get into. [It doesn't] cost $25,000 anymore. Microsoft makes it very easy. There are people who give you money, who will give you technology, because they think you've got an idea and they've jumped on the bandwagon. But guess what: you do have to have a sound business concept. You have to have multiple recurring revenue streams....

Brian Timpone

A lot of you guys are programmers or have worked with project management or technology. What he's telling you is, the problem is, you guys don't communicate with the people who know the business. And that's a big issue, I mean, look at the Chicago Tribune's website. They built their own content management platform. And it's a crummy site. I mean, they have tons and tons of content going back, you know, 100 years, and they didn't use any of it. And that's because, when they built it, I guarantee you the technology people, they didn't think one moment about what the people on the other side would need. And your Sun-Times [speaking to Gary Ruderman, formerly of the Sun-Times], I met with Dan Miller once about this, who is the business editor, and he said, 'We have all this great news we break intraday, but we can't get it up on the site because the site doesn't allow us to do that. That's a disconnect between the programmers, who are in their room with the door locked, with a sign up that says, 'If you knock on the door we're going to beat your head in', and the people who are doing the real business out in front.

Ron May

Hey, don't get me started on the Sun-Times. I tried to send an e-mail to Howard Wolinski once — he's one of their reporters, actually he's taking a sabbatical right now, but, he doesn't have any email on his desk. They don't actually have computers on their desks, can you believe it?

Gary Ruderman

They do, but they are called 'ATEX terminals'. ATEX is the leading software for newspapers. What will happen in the next year at the Sun-Times ... we all pray, is they are going to switch from ATEX.... In 1979, I used ATEX at the Associated Press. It's like in its third iteration, but they are probably going to switch over to Mac, because Mac is the publishing software. But in order to do that, you've got to overturn over the entire inertia. Look, big companies have inertia. One of the major failures in companies that I covered in the last year, 'New Economy' or 'dot-com' startups, was they either outsourced their software — they took all the money that the VCs gave them and they went out and outsourced their software — the software came back in, and 'Geez, it didn't work! And we've got $15 left....'

And people said to me, 'Why isn't there more technology transfer in Chicago, technology that goes into commercialization?' Because, in Chicago, the technology people don't talk to the business schools to get it going. So why isn't there a community here? There's not a community here because there's no 'dire need'. We don't need a community here to survive, if we're going to survive regardless of the community. And the other side is, the two sides don't talk to each other.

Lawrence Lerner

I disagree, actually. I'll tell you the big reason that caused that change, for business people to start talking to technology people, was Y2K. That caused a lot of businesses to wake up and realize that they better communicate and get with the ball in terms of how technology affects their business, or they're not going to be in business. Now, every company has a Chief Information Officer. Ten years ago, not every company had a Chief Information Officer.

Ron May

That, actually was about 10 years ago — because I was an IT recruiter for many years — about 10 years ago was when the CIO started to actually come into existence.

Lawrence Lerner

Started, but now its common....

Story: Part One | Part Two | Part Three
Transcript: Part One | Part Two | Part Three





In Association with Amazon.com

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Rating:
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